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Where Do the Jobs Go?

February 8, 2010

As we process the Portland Plan background reports, one of the most fascinating in my opinion is the Economic Opportunities Analysis – Alternative Choices (PDF).

It sets up a series of choices about where we plan for jobs in the next 25 years.

As background, Portland has about 40% of the jobs in the region (excellent when compared to other cities that are centers of their regions). But during the period from 2000-2006, we only captured about 11% of new  jobs. Over the period the Portland Plan covers (through 2035), we want to do better and expect (hope?) that somewhere between 18% and 36% of new jobs will locate in the City.

The report looks at different types of spaces and locations where we might accommodate these jobs, and what kind of public investments and policies this would take. Some of the locations types are:

  • Central City Office Space – there was relatively little new demand for this in the last decade, but we have lots of zoned capacity – what will the demand be in the next 25 years?
  • Do we need an Office cluster outside the Central City? An office center at Gateway or the Airport might provide lower cost office space to compete with places like Kruse Way and help improve jobs/housing balance by providing employment locations in the eastern part of the City.
  • Incubator space – inexpensive space where new companies can get started. Today the Central Eastside and Lower Albina play this role, but the projection is for more demand than these areas can handle. Should we upzone these areas or look for other areas for this function? Could this be an additional role that Gateway could fill?
  • Town Centers, neighborhood commercial districts and commercial corridors – what kind of jobs could/should go here and how do we plan for them?
  • Campus development – we have a few sites (Conway, Post Office site) that could work for new campus developments. What kinds of employers need it and how do they fit into the bigger picture?
  • Industrial space – how much do we need and where does it need to go. Can some of it be built ‘up’ in multistory development, or does it all need to be single-story?

Of course, all of this only makes sense where and when the private sector creates these jobs. How do we create City plans that are flexible and responsive to what will surely be changing trends in the private sector over the new few decades?

Come tell us what you think! We have two more hearings on the background reports:

  • Tuesday, February 9th, 1:15pm
  • Tuesday, March 9th, 1:15pm

The meeting on March 9th will focus on land supply, so would be particularly apt for this topic, but you’re welcome to testify on any topic at either of the hearings.

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Coming Up on February 9th

February 4, 2010

Official Agenda

12:30pm – Milwaukie Light Rail, PSU to OMSI (briefing)

1:15pm – Portland Plan, overview of Periodic Review process and hearing on background data.

Come out and tell us what you think about the background reports!

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Infill, Historic Preservation and Corridors

February 1, 2010

Over the weekend I had the opportunity to attend an excellent workshop hosted by the Architectural Heritage Center on “Infill in Traditional Neighborhoods”.

Infill is not a new topic for me. I had a chance to study it in depth when I served on the City Club’s study on “Increasing Density in Portland” that looked at how Portland could achieve the increases in housing suggested by the Metro 2040 Growth Plan adopted in the mid-’90s. Two take-aways from that study that have continued to guide me are:

  • As much as possible put density in new neighborhoods on brownfields (like the Pearl and South Waterfront).
  • Where infill must be used, design will be critical.

Traditional neighborhoods are also not new to me, having served for almost a decade on the board of my neighborhood association in NW Portland. During my service a big chunk of our neighborhood was placed on the National Register of Historic Places as the “Alphabet Historic District” through the efforts of a number of dedicated volunteers and support from the City (I get none of the credit, I was working on parking issues at the time…).

So while the topics weren’t new to me, the workshop did open up some ideas for me, principally around the idea of “compatibility”. In the past I’ve thought of compatibility of new development with the existing neighborhood primarily in terms of building height, building mass and building style (e.g., modern versus traditional, etc.). But some important ideas that the workshop brought up were issues of compatibility with the development patterns of surrounding buildings: does the new development match the setback patterns of surrounding building? Is the use of green space similar? Are the building types (e.g., residential over storefront) similar even if the style is different?

In particular, this got me thinking about our major transit corridor streets, since our strategy is to focus much of our housing growth on these streets. It seems to me that as this planned growth occurs, we are necessarily going to see (indeed are already seeing in some somes places) buildings that are often larger than their neighbors (the current zoning generally already supports this). Given this reality, what other elements can we focus on to retain the character of our main street corridors, while helping them evolve to meet our future needs? How should the Portland Plan create supportive policies for this?

While we’re speaking of growth and buildings, I would note some opportunities for citizens to speak to these issues NOW in the Portland Plan process. The Urban Form Report gives a very educational view of what kinds of building heights and massings the current zoning supports. At our last hearing we received testimony that these heights and masses would surprise many people! The good news is that there is enough existing zoned capacity for housing that the Portland Plan should not need to do wholesale up-zoning to support projected growth. Indeed, there might be opportunities from some selective down-zoning to protect environmental assets. Your next opportunity to testify is at our February 9th hearing. Tell us how you think Portland Plan policies should focus this growth.

And on the topic of growth, there was testimony at our last hearing that the growth numbers appear to keep changing. At our meeting on March 9th, we’ll be visiting assumptions about land supply and staff will have the opportunity to review how the growth projections were arrived at. Come out, list, learn and testify!

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Updated: First Portland Plan Background Data Hearing – Three?

January 27, 2010

Update: 1/27/10:

The PowerPoint presentation is now online.

Original Post: 1/26/10:

I both enjoyed tonight’s hearing and was disappointed by it.

The disappointment is that only three people testified. As I expressed at the meeting, we can get a room full of people to show up and oppose a project that they don’t like, but when we’re formulating the policy that will set the context for that project and many others, it feels like we’re just talking to ourselves. This is one of the conundrums of citizen involvement. How do you get citizens engaged in the advance policy work? (This is not to diminish the almost 1,000 people who participated in the workshops, but we could use your help when we’re grappling with the details too!)

On the up side, the quality of the testimony was excellent, as was the Commission discussion during and after the testimony.

The meeting began with a staff presentation on the highlights of the Portland Plan background reports. I’ll link to this presentation when it’s available on the web, it’s an excellent summary.

For you video watchers, the citizen testimony began about 38 minutes into the meeting. Messages we heard were:

  • Even though at a whole City level, we won’t need to up-zone to accommodate forecast growth, many citizens would be surprised by what today’s zoning code would allow to be built in their neighborhoods (a good reason to read the Urban Form Report).
  • The hazard (earthquake, landslide, etc.) analysis in the background reports is not up-to-date and should be replaced with the current plans.
  • The population and housing forecasts have changed dramatically over the course of the last two years and some citizens are skeptical about the numbers.

This led to a discussion about Metro’s Urban Growth Report, which is the basis for the forecasts, and how a portion of regional growth is allocated to Portland. We also discussed that Portland Plan policies could impact this allocation.

The Commission also had a lively discussion on factors influencing job growth.

The second of the three hearings on the Portland Plan background reports will be at the February 9th meeting (a 12:30pm meeting, the hearing will be the second agenda item). Citizens are welcome to testify on any Portland Plan topic area at any of the hearings. Tell your friends, let’s have a crowd!

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Updated: Meeting Summary – 1/12/10

January 19, 2010

Update 1/20/10:

Here’s the staff description of the schools/parks zoning recommendations.

Original Post 1/12/10:

(3pm) Schools and Conditional Use – Grade Level Changes

Staff presented a hybrid concept in which grades 6-8 could be added to an elementary (K-5) school by right, but adding K-5 to a middle school (6-8) would require conditional use review. Staff recommended a Type II review.

The intent is primarily to provide a review to ensure that the site (particularly in terms of transportation) is safe for younger children.

Planning Commission voted 4-1 to forward the recommendation to City Council but modified the proposal to specify a Type III review with broader outreach and an appeal path to City Council. The Commission also included a recommendation that part of the Portland Plan conversation should include setting up a process by which the City can take testimony on community infrastructure impacts of school closings and grade changes to inform City consultation with the School District. President Don Hanson was the dissenting vote, preferring the less onerous Type II review.

The result is that the School District will need to apply for Conditional Use review for 7 schools that were converted from middle schools to K-8 at a cost of about $75K. The Commission was cognizant of the cost impact on the district but felt strongly that the review was necessary.

(3:55pm) Schools and Parks Conditional Use – Recreational Fields

Planning Commission unanimously endorsed the staff proposal which shifts some fields changes (adding a new field next to an existing one, adding bleacher of a limited size, etc.) from Conditional Use review to a notification and comment process that can result in a Good Neighbor Agreement. The Commission emphasized that the Good Neighbor Agreements can only be successful if the Parks Bureau is serious about using revocation of use permits as a potential enforcement for violations that are not corrected.

(4:50pm) Election of Officers for 2010

President Hanson and Vice President Rudd were re-elected and Commissioner Shapiro was elected to the second vacant Vice President position.

(4:55pm) Portland-Milwaukie Light Rail Project

The Commission was briefed on station area plans, modal interface issues and development opportunities for the segment from Clinton to Tacoma.

(5:30) Director’s Report

Updates on the Portland Plan and budget processes.

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Checking in on the Portland Plan Process

January 14, 2010

A few updates as the effort keeps on keeping on:

  • The city-wide compilation of survey results from the seven Portland Plan workshops is now available online. Over 900 people attended the workshops. While they were NOT representative of the City as a whole (the attendees were less diverse and more affluent than the overall population), the input of 900 motivated citizens is always informative. Transit, walkability and access to greenspaces and trails scored high.
  • You can still take the survey online! The Mayor has extended the deadline to March 31.
  • A new flyer is available for the three Planning Commission Hearings on the “existing conditions” that will inform the Portland Plan. While each hearing has a topic, we want to be clear that citizens are welcome to discuss any Portland Plan issue at any one of the three hearings. And City Council won’t formally adopt existing condition findings until closer to the end of the year, so don’t panic! Keep the conversation going… the first hearing is January 26th at 6pm.
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Updated: Coming Up on January 12th

January 7, 2010

Update: Staff has released the briefing memos for recreational fields and grade changes.

The staff is recommending against the Planning Commission suggestion to require a conditional use review when changing grades in a school across the elementary school/middle school boundary. I expect a lively discussion.

Original Post – December 27th, 2009:

Official Agenda

3:00pm – Schools and Parks Conditional Use Code Refinement Project: Grade Level Changes (Work Session / Recommendation)

Schools and Parks Conditional Use Code Refinement Project: Recreational Fields (Work Session / Recommendation)

4:30pm – Portland-Milwaukie Light Rail Project: Clinton Station to Tacoma Station (Briefing)

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Readers Digest Version of Portland Plan Documents

January 6, 2010

Earlier in the week I enthused about all the great info in the Portland Plan background reports.

The project team has just put up summary document that takes the executive summary from each background report and combines them in one easy-to-download PDF file for those of you who used the Cliff Notes in college. All that policy squeezed into 75 pages…

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How I Spent My Christmas Vacation: Geeking Out on the Portland Plan Documents

January 4, 2010

OK, I’m a wonk. I spent a chunk of my holiday break curled up with two three-ring binders worth of background reports – and found it fascinating.

But you don’t have to wade through thousands of pages to comprehend the issues. The project team has produced a great handbook that lays out the key issues in about 40 pages. I think this is really helpful. We used the handbook approach during the development of the Streetcar System Concept Plan and citizens told us it helped them comprehend the issues.

But I don’t want to diminish the background reports themselves. They are an amazing compilation of the key programs, systems and infrastructure that comprise the City. And they comprehensively and clearly lay out the opportunities, challenges and policy trade-offs that we’re going to have to grapple with. If you’re ready to dig in (or just graze a bit), here’s the full list:

Arts and Culture (PDF)
Arts and Culture – Overview (PDF)
Arts and Culture – Snapshot (PDF)
Economic Development (PDF)
Economic Development – Overview (PDF)
Economic Development – Snapshot (PDF)
Economic Opportunities Analysis (PDF) – Task 1 – Trends, Opportunities and Martket Factors
Economic Opportunities Analysis (PDF) – Task 2/3 – Supply and Demand
Economic Opportunities Analysis (PDF) – Task 4 – Alternative Choices
Energy (PDF)
Energy – Overview (PDF)
Energy – Snapshot (PDF)
Evaluation of Economic Specialization (PDF)
Food Systems (PDF)
Food Systems – Overview (PDF)
Food Systems – Snapshot (PDF)
Food Systems Maps (PDF)
Historic Resources (PDF) – Report 1: Key Findings and Recommendations
Historic Resources (PDF) – Report 2: Data and Maps
Historic Resources (PDF) – Report 3: Understanding Historic Resources in Portland
Historic Resources – Overview (PDF)
Historic Resources – Snapshot (PDF)
Housing – Overview (PDF)
Housing – Snapshot (PDF)
Housing Affordability (PDF)
Housing and Transportation Cost Study (PDF)
Housing Supply (PDF)
Human Health and Safety (PDF)
Human Health and Safety – Overview (PDF)
Human Health and Safety – Snapshot (PDF)
Infrastructure – Snapshot (PDF)
Infrastructure Condition and Capacity (PDF)
Infrastructure Condition and Capacity – Overview (PDF)
Infrastructure Condition and Capacity Maps Part 1 (PDF)
Infrastructure Condition and Capacity Maps Part 2 (PDF)
Natural Resource Inventory (PDF)
Natural Resource Inventory – Overview (PDF)
Natural Resource Inventory – Snapshot (PDF)
Public Schools (PDF)
Urban Forestry (PDF)
Urban Forestry – Overview (PDF)
Urban Forestry – Snapshot (PDF)
Urban Form (PDF)
Urban Form – Overview (PDF)
Urban Form – Snapshot (PDF)
Watershed Health (PDF)
Watershed Health – Overview (PDF)
Watershed Health – Snapshot (PDF)

If you’d like to read hardcopies of these, rather than download them, they’re available in your local library branch or neighborhood coalition office.

My compliments to the staff (in many bureaus) who produced these reports. I doubt that many cities have this kind of comprehensive view available.

As we move through the process, I hope to highlight issues from a number of these reports in future posts!

And these documents are not just informative, they play an official role in the Portland Plan process. Planning Commission and City Council will hold hearings on and adopt this content as the ‘existing conditions’ for the Portland Plan and Comprehensive Plan. Planning Commission will hold a series of three hearings (download the flyer PDF) starting on January 26th. Come out and tell us what YOU think. See you there.

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Fields as Good Neighbors

December 30, 2009

Staff has released their proposed code revisions for recreational fields (PDF).

An interesting feature of the proposal is the idea of using Good Neighbor Agreements to manage issues that are far too detailed and changing to fit well under Conditional Use review.

While Good Neighborhood Agreements have been a feature of Liquor License applications for some time, I believe that outside of a singular case around PGE Park, that this is the first time they would be referenced in the zoning code.

At the earlier Planning Commission discussion the opinion was expressed that Good Neighbor Agreements represent an agreement at one moment in time by the particular group of individuals at the table. This proposal seeks to give them a longer life by requiring periodic review and imposing the threat of revocation of use permits if there is no review or agreements are not carried.

I’d be interested in readers’ thinking on whether or not this could be a useful tool…

This proposal will be reviewed at the January 12th Planning Commission meeting (meeting starts at 3pm). While the schools/fields code amendments item leads the agenda, I understand we will be reviewing the schools portion of the package first).